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Archive for the ‘Mortgage backed securities’ Category
Wednesday, October 26th, 2011

Sales of previously occupied homes (the largest segment of all home sales) increased by 11.3% on a year-over-year basis according to the National Association of Realtors. Sales did decrease 3% from the previous month which was close to market expectations.
Inventories declined 2% to 3.48 million units, representing 8.5 months of supply at current sales rates.
“It’s in a holding pattern. When it does break out, it will break out upward, but it hasn‘t broken out yet,“ said Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the NAR. A separate report from the Labor Department showed that rent of primary residences is up 2.1% on a year-on-year basis. In time, rising rents should help boost sales of homes, Yun said.
Distressed home sales fell from 31% to 30%. All Cash Sales held steady at 30% suggesting continued interest by investors, and first-time home buyers accounted for 32% of the sales.
This report certainly didn’t show the housing market taking off, but it did have some bright spots which is welcome news as we continue our slow climb out of the bottom.
What Happened to Rates Last Week:

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +22 basis points from last Friday to the prior Friday which moved mortgage rates slightly downward.
The MBS markets had a very choppy week where we saw intra-day pricing swings of 20 to 40 basis points each trading day. The market largely ignored virtually all of the economic data that was released. This was due to all the markets focusing intensely on Europe as Germany, France, the European Central Bank, the IMF and others met all week long in an attempt to come up with a solution to their debt woes.
The markets reacted very quickly to any leaked reports out of those meetings which added to the volatility.
What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:
It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.
| Date |
ET |
Release |
|
| 25-Oct |
9:00 |
S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY) |
|
| 25-Oct |
10:00 |
Consumer Confidence |
|
| 25-Oct |
10:00 |
Housing Price Index (MoM) |
|
| 25-Oct |
10:00 |
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
|
| 26-Oct |
7:00 |
MBA Mortgage Applications |
|
| 26-Oct |
8:30 |
Durable Goods Orders |
|
| 26-Oct |
8:30 |
Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation |
|
| 26-Oct |
10:00 |
New Home Sales |
|
| 26-Oct |
10:00 |
New Home Sales (MoM) |
|
| 26-Oct |
10:30 |
EIA Crude Oil Stocks change |
|
| 27-Oct |
8:30 |
Continuing Jobless Claims |
|
| 27-Oct |
8:30 |
Gross Domestic Product Annualized |
|
| 27-Oct |
8:30 |
Gross Domestic Purchases Price Index |
|
| 27-Oct |
8:30 |
Initial Jobless Claims |
|
| 27-Oct |
10:00 |
Pending Home Sales (MoM) |
|
| 28-Oct |
8:30 |
Core PCE – Price Index (MoM) |
|
| 28-Oct |
8:30 |
Core PCE – Prices Index (YoY) |
|
| 28-Oct |
8:30 |
PCE- Price Index (YoY) |
|
| 28-Oct |
8:30 |
Personal Income (MoM) |
|
| 28-Oct |
9:55 |
Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index |
|
Posted in Mortgage backed securities | No Comments »
Monday, August 15th, 2011

U.S. retail sales in July posted their biggest gain since March, tempering fears that the world’s largest economy might be slipping back into recession.
Sales climbed 0.5 percent, in line with analyst forecasts and following an upwardly revised 0.3 percent gain in June.
Consumer spending accounts for two thirds of U.S. economic activity, and the Commerce Department data released on Friday indicates the third quarter was off to a decent start.
Excluding autos, sales increased 0.5 percent, well above forecasts for a 0.2 percent gain. The figures were bolstered by a 1.6 percent jump in gasoline station sales, in part reflecting the higher cost of fuel.
Consumer spending is vital to the housing market. Any improvement in consumer behavior and their willingness to make purchases is welcome news to the housing industry as it often translates into more demand for housing.
What Happened to Rates Last Week:

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +168 basis points last week which helped to move mortgage rates lower from last Friday to the prior Friday. We closed at our best levels of 2011. The gains were primarily due to very strong demand for our 10 year Treasury auction and the much weaker than expected economic news as well as continued concern over weakness in Europe.
What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:
It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.
| Date |
ET |
Release |
For |
| 15-Aug |
8:30 |
NY Empire State Manufacturing Index |
|
| 15-Aug |
9:00 |
Net Long-Term TIC Flows |
|
| 15-Aug |
9:00 |
Total Net TIC Flows |
|
| 15-Aug |
10:00 |
NAHB Housing Market Index |
|
| 16-Aug |
8:30 |
Building Permits (MoM) |
|
| 16-Aug |
8:30 |
Housing Starts (MoM) |
|
| 16-Aug |
8:30 |
Import Price Index (MoM) |
|
| 16-Aug |
8:30 |
Import Price Index (YoY) |
|
| 16-Aug |
9:15 |
Capacity Utilization |
|
| 16-Aug |
9:15 |
Industrial Production (MoM) |
|
| 17-Aug |
7:00 |
MBA Mortgage Applications |
|
| 17-Aug |
8:30 |
Producer Price Index (MoM) |
|
| 17-Aug |
8:30 |
Producer Price Index (YoY) |
|
| 17-Aug |
8:30 |
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) |
|
| 17-Aug |
8:30 |
Producer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) |
|
| 17-Aug |
10:30 |
EIA Crude Oil Stocks change |
|
| 18-Aug |
8:30 |
Consumer Price Index (MoM) |
|
| 18-Aug |
8:30 |
Consumer Price Index (YoY) |
|
| 18-Aug |
8:30 |
Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (MoM) |
|
| 18-Aug |
8:30 |
Consumer Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY) |
|
| 18-Aug |
8:30 |
Continuing Jobless Claims |
|
| 18-Aug |
8:30 |
Initial Jobless Claims |
|
| 18-Aug |
10:00 |
Existing Home Sales (MoM) |
|
| 18-Aug |
10:00 |
Existing Home Sales Change |
|
| 18-Aug |
10:00 |
Leading Indicators (MoM) |
|
| 18-Aug |
10:00 |
Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey |
|
Tags: MBS, NE, Nebraska, Retail Posted in Mortgage backed securities | No Comments »
Wednesday, June 29th, 2011
By CHRIS KAHN
AP Business Writer
NEW YORK (AP) – Bank of America and its Countrywide unit will pay $8.5 billion to settle claims that the lenders sold poor-quality mortgage-backed securities that went sour when the housing market collapsed.
The deal, announced Wednesday, comes after a group of 22 investors demanded that the Charlotte, N.C. bank repurchase $47 billion in mortgages that its Countrywide unit sold to them in the form of bonds.
The group, which includes the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Pimco Investment Management, and Blackrock Financial Management, argued that Countrywide enriched itself at the expense of investors by continuing to service bad loans while running up servicing fees.
Bank of America, which bought Countrywide in 2008 for $4 billion, has denied those claims.

Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan said Wednesday that the settlement would minimize “future economic uncertainty” in the banking business and “clean up the mortgage issues largely stemming from our purchase of Countrywide.”
For several months, Bank of America battled claims based on estimates “that were much different from ours,” Moynihan said. But at this point, it made more sense to settle than to keep fighting, he said.
“We have said consistently if people are reasonable and can get to a reasonable assessment of their claims and it’s in the best interest of shareholders, we will settle,” Moynihan told Wall Street analysts in a conference call.
The settlement is subject to court approval and covers 530 trusts with original principal balance of $424 billion.
Citi analyst Keith Horowitz said the settlement, which amounts to only 2 percent of the original principal balance, removes one of the largest investor risks for Bank of America.
“We think this could prove to be a step forward” for Bank of America, Horowitz said. It would show investors that the bank can manage through crisis without raising additional capital.
As a result of the settlement, Bank of America put its second-quarter loss at $8.6 billion to $9.1 billion. Excluding the settlement and other charges, the bank expects to post a quarterly loss of $3.2 billion to $3.7 billion.
Shares of Bank of America Corp. jumped more than 4 percent, or 48 cents to $11.30 before the market opened, with investors happy that the bank can put very big uncertainty behind it.
Investors may now be more confident that they can get similar concessions from other major U.S. banks that created markets for mortgage-backed securities with questionable pedigrees.
Yet stocks in the financial sector were rising in electronic trading Wednesday, likely because the Bank of America deal presents a framework for others to follow.
Copyright 2011 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.
Posted in Mortgage backed securities | No Comments »
Monday, November 22nd, 2010
The U.S. mortgage delinquency rate declined last quarter as the employment picture brightened. The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that the rate of delinquency on single-family homes for the third quarter fell 0.72% from the previous quarter for a reading of of just 9.13%.

The media coverage of the housing market would lead most to assume that almost every house is in foreclosure and that most mortgages are delinquent or in foreclose. This is far from true. Certainly a delinquency rate of 9.13% is higher than what any banker wants to see, but it also means that 90.87% of all mortgages are paid on time. And with businesses adding 151,000 jobs last month and Initial Jobless Claims continuing to fall, we appear to be on firmer ground.
What Happened to Rates Last Week:

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) lost -59 basis points last week causing 30 year fixed rates to increase from the previous week. This is after the prior week’s -147 basis point sell off. The Federal Reserve’s $600 billion Quantitative Easing II plan was in effect for the second straight week and the longer term bonds such as MBS are not a big fan. MBS have sold off -122 basis points since the first day of their Treasury purchase program which has pressured mortgage rates upward.
What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:
| Date |
ET |
Release |
For |
| 23-Nov |
8:30 |
GDP – Second Estimate |
Q3 |
| 23-Nov |
8:30 |
GDP Deflator – Second Estimate |
Q3 |
| 23-Nov |
10:00 |
Existing Home Sales |
Oct |
| 23-Nov |
14:00 |
Minutes of FOMC Meeting |
3-Nov |
| 24-Nov |
7:00 |
MBA Mortgage Applications |
19-Nov |
| 24-Nov |
8:30 |
Personal Income |
Oct |
| 24-Nov |
8:30 |
Personal Spending |
Oct |
| 24-Nov |
8:30 |
PCE Prices – Core |
Oct |
| 24-Nov |
8:30 |
Durable Orders |
Oct |
| 24-Nov |
8:30 |
Durable Orders -ex transportation |
Oct |
| 24-Nov |
8:30 |
Initial Claims |
20-Nov |
| 24-Nov |
8:30 |
Continuing Claims |
13-Nov |
| 24-Nov |
9:55 |
Michigan Sentiment – Final |
Nov |
| 24-Nov |
10:00 |
New Home Sales |
Oct |
| 24-Nov |
10:00 |
FHFA Home Price Index (q/q) |
Q3 |
| 24-Nov |
10:30 |
Crude Inventories |
20-Nov |
It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.
Tags: Foreclosures, MBS Posted in Mortgage backed securities | No Comments »
Friday, September 3rd, 2010
By KEVIN KINGSBURY, The Wall Street Journal | Real Estate
WASHINGTON—Average mortgage rates hit another record low even as Treasurys sold off, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey of mortgage rates.
Mortgage rates have been slumping for months as investors buy Treasurys—pushing down their yields—amid U.S. economic uncertainty. Some of the price gains on Treasurys were lost in recent days after the 10-year note last week retreated from levels last seen in early 2009. Yields, which move inversely to prices, are generally tracked by mortgage rates.
But the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.32% for the week ended Thursday, down from the prior week’s 4.36% average and 5.08% a year earlier. It has set or matched a record low for 11 weeks in a row; Freddie started keeping track of such rates in 1971.

Rates on 15-year fixed-rate mortgages were 3.83%, a new low and down from 3.86% and 4.54%, respectively. Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages were 3.54%, compared with 3.56% a week earlier and 4.59% last year. That loan type hasn’t had such a low average rate since Freddie started tracking it in 2005.
One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs were at 3.50%, down from 3.52% and 4.62%, respectively.
To obtain the rates, the 30- and one-year required payment of an average 0.7 point, with the 15- and 5-year having an average 0.6 point. A point is 1% of the mortgage amount, charged as prepaid interest.
Tags: 30-year fixed-rate, ARMs, Freddie Mac, MBS, Mortgage Rates Posted in Mortgage backed securities | No Comments »
Friday, September 3rd, 2010
By STEVE BROWN / The Dallas Morning News
stevebrown@dallasnews.com
A Memphis , Tenn., company that just bought a McKinney apartment and retail complex got one heck of a deal.
Mid-America Apartment Communities paid $31.25 million for the new Times Square development in Craig Ranch. It’s one of several multifamily housing projects the real estate investment trust has just purchased.
Times Square has more than 300 luxury apartments and 88,000 square feet of retail space and cost about $52 million to build.
The lender that sold the foreclosed property – Bank of America – had lent more than $45 million on the development.
Mid-America got the mixed-use project at almost a 40 percent discount from construction cost.
Such markdowns of new commercial properties aren’t unheard of in North Texas. And investors are eager to sign up for more such deals.
But they’d better hurry.
The latest industry barometers indicate the commercial property price plunge may have bottomed out.

Nationwide, commercial property transaction prices jumped by a near record 17 percent in the second quarter from a year earlier, according to the latest quarterly index from the MIT Center for Real Estate.
The last time commercial real estate values rose that much was five years ago, during the boom.
Even with the recent sharp gain, MIT researchers point out that prices remain more than 30 percent lower than they were in mid-2007.
MIT’s research director David Geltner said that while commercial prices are bottoming, “it’s a rocky bottom, and a precarious bottom as well, because pricing could head down again, especially if we go into a double-dip recession.
“We won’t have really solid pricing until we get stronger trading volume.”
MIT also found that investor demand for commercial real estate is up more than 20 percent from 2009.
But sellers are still reluctant.
“Property owners are still largely holding properties off the market, not wanting to sell at prices that they still view as depressed, or anyway not wanting to move money from real estate to stocks or bonds in the current economic climate.”
There’s also some indication that the flow of failed deals to lenders may be slowing.
Commercial mortgage delinquencies at banks – while still at a high rate – were flat in the second quarter, the Mortgage Bankers Association reports. Just over 4 percent of banks commercial property loans were 90 days or more behind in payments at the end of June.
Delinquency rates for commercial mortgage-backed securities debt were still rising at mid-year – up to the highest level since records have been kept.
More than 8 percent of deals financed by commercial mortgage-backed securities were in the tank in the second quarter, the Mortgage Bankers say.
Life insurance companies have the lowest late loan rates.
In the second quarter, less than a third of 1 percent of their borrowers were behind in payments.
“Performance across all investor groups will continue to depend on economic growth and its ability to generate demand for commercial real estate space,” said Jamie Woodwell, the MBA’s vice president of commercial real estate research.
Tags: banks, Commerical Property, MBS, Real Estate Posted in Mortgage backed securities | No Comments »
Monday, August 30th, 2010
CoreLogic reported that the number of American homes that are “underwater” fell last quarter. A home is considered “underwater” when the owner owes more on their mortgage(s) than the home’s present value. The data fell from 24% in the first quarter to 23% in the second quarter. While this is not a huge decrease – given the high unemployment levels, any improvement is welcomed. How does our state stack up? Check out the chart below to see:

What Happened to Rates Last Week:

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +22 basis points last week causing 30 year fixed rates to decrease. MBS reached a new all-time best pricing level on Thursday. After we reached those great levels, we pulled back -53 basis points by Friday. The gains in mortgage backed securities (the only thing 30 year conventional mortgage rates are based on) were primarily the result of continued concerns about a very fragile economy and the perception of an increased probability of a “double-dip” recession. Our huge pull back on Friday (which caused mortgage rates to increase) was due to the release of the revised 2nd QTR GDP numbers. It was revised from 2.4% growth down to only 1.6% growth but the markets expected an even bigger downward correction. Since the data was better than market expectations, MBS sold off causing us to lose the lowest rates we have ever seen.
What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:
| Date |
ET |
Release |
For |
| 30-Aug |
8:30 |
Personal Income |
July |
| 30-Aug |
8:30 |
Personal Spending |
July |
| 30-Aug |
8:30 |
PCE Prices – Core |
July |
| 31-Aug |
9:00 |
Case-Shiller 20-city Index |
June |
| 31-Aug |
9:45 |
Chicago PMI |
Aug |
| 31-Aug |
10:00 |
Consumer Confidence |
Aug |
| 31-Aug |
14:00 |
Minutes of FOMC Meeting |
10-Aug |
| 1-Sept |
8:15 |
ADP Employment Change |
Aug |
| 1-Sept |
10:00 |
Construction Spending |
July |
| 1-Sept |
10:00 |
ISM Index |
Aug |
| 1-Sept |
10:30 |
Crude Inventories |
28-Aug |
| 1-Sept |
10:00 |
Auto Sales |
Aug |
| 1-Sept |
14:00 |
Truck Sales |
Aug |
| 2-Sept |
8:30 |
Initial Claims |
28-Aug |
| 2-Sept |
8:30 |
Continuing Claims |
21-Aug |
| 2-Sept |
8:30 |
Productivity-Rev. |
Q2 |
| 2-Sept |
8:30 |
Unit Labor Costs |
Q2 |
| 2-Sept |
10:00 |
Factory Orders |
July |
| 2-Sept |
10:00 |
Pending Home Sales |
July |
| 3-Sept |
8:30 |
Nonfarm Payrolls |
Aug |
| 3-Sept |
8:30 |
Nonfarm Payrolls – Private |
Aug |
| 3-Sept |
8:30 |
Unemployment Rate |
Aug |
| 3-Sept |
8:30 |
Hourly Earnings |
Aug |
| 3-Sept |
8:30 |
Average Workweek |
Aug |
| 3-Sept |
10:00 |
ISM Services |
Aug |
It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.
Tags: MBS Posted in Market Update, Mortgage backed securities | No Comments »
Monday, August 23rd, 2010
A new survey by Trulia.com found that 72% of all renters wish to eventually own their own home.
Of those that want to own their own home, one third are ready to buy now and two thirds say that they will wait two years or more. One-third is a very sizable number and combined with consistently low mortgage rates at or near their historic lows, the stage is set for entry-level home sales to continue to surge. As the entry-level market continues to improve, that provides demand for those that are moving up to the next price level. While renters are eager to own, they are concerned about the unemployment picture, the economy, and down payment options.
What Happened to Rates Last Week:

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) lost -19 basis points last week causing 30 year fixed rates to rise. MBS neared their best all-time pricing levels on Thursday. After we reached those great levels, we pulled back -47 basis points by Friday. The gains in mortgage backed securities (the only thing 30 year conventional mortgage rates are based on) were primarily the result of very weak Initial Jobless Claims and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing data. We pulled back from our best pricing on Friday due mainly for profit taking as no one wanted to hold MBS at their highs.
What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:
| Date |
ET |
Release |
For |
| 24-Aug |
10:00 |
Existing Home Sales |
July |
| 25-Aug |
8:30 |
Durable Orders |
July |
| 25-Aug |
8:30 |
Durable Goods -ex Transportation |
July |
| 25-Aug |
10:00 |
New Home Sales |
July |
| 25-Aug |
10:30 |
Crude Inventories |
21-Aug |
| 26-Aug |
8:30 |
Initial Claims |
21-Aug |
| 26-Aug |
8:30 |
Continuing Claims |
14-Aug |
| 27-Aug |
8:30 |
GDP – Second Estimate |
Q2 |
| 27-Aug |
8:30 |
GDP Deflator – Second Estimate |
Q2 |
| 27-Aug |
9:55 |
U Michigan Consumer Sentiment – Final |
Aug |
It is virtually impossible for you to keep track of what is going on with the economy and other events that can impact the housing and mortgage markets. Just leave it to me, I monitor the live trading of Mortgage Backed Securities which are the only thing government and conventional mortgage rates are based upon.
Tags: MBS, Renters Posted in Market Update, Mortgage backed securities | No Comments »
Monday, August 2nd, 2010

Single-family home prices rose more than expected in May according to the new release of the Standard and Poor’s/Case Chiller home price index.
The 20-city composite price index rose 0.5% in May and April was upwardly revised to an increase of 0.6%. Economists had been expecting a smaller gain in the range of 0.2%. While these monthly increases appear small, they do indicate a trend towards housing stability after the bottom in 2009. The index showed a 4.5% increase on a year-over-year basis and it is the 14th straight month of improvement in this report.
What Happened to Rates Last Week:

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +66 basis points last week which caused 30 year fixed rates to decrease for both government and conventional loans. The gains in mortgage backed securities (the only thing 30 year conventional mortgage rates are based on) were the result of concerns about the stability of our economic recovery. While we had a week of stronger than expected housing data across the board, the market reacted to a lower than expected economic growth rate (GDP) and deflationary concerns.
What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:
| Date |
ET |
Release |
For |
| 2-Aug |
10:00 |
Construction Spending |
June |
| 2-Aug |
10:00 |
ISM Index |
July |
| 3-Aug |
8:30 |
Personal Income |
June |
| 3-Aug |
8:30 |
Personal Spending |
June |
| 3-Aug |
8:30 |
PCE Prices – Core |
June |
| 3-Aug |
10:00 |
Factory Orders |
June |
| 3-Aug |
10:00 |
Pending Home Sales |
June |
| 3-Aug |
14:00 |
Auto Sales |
Jul |
| 3-Aug |
14:00 |
Truck Sales |
Jul |
| 4-Aug |
8:15 |
ADP Employment Change |
Jul |
| 4-Aug |
10:00 |
ISM Services |
Jul |
| 4-Aug |
10:30 |
Crude Inventories |
31-Jul |
| 5-Aug |
8:30 |
Continuing Claims |
24-Jul |
| 5-Aug |
8:30 |
Initial Claims |
31-Jul |
| 6-Aug |
8:30 |
Nonfarm Payrolls |
July |
| 6-Aug |
8:30 |
Nonfarm Payrolls – Private |
July |
| 6-Aug |
8:30 |
Unemployment Rate |
July |
| 6-Aug |
8:30 |
Hourly Earnings |
July |
| 6-Aug |
8:30 |
Average Workweek |
July |
| 6-Aug |
15:00 |
Consumer Credit |
June |
Tags: home prices, MBS Posted in Market Update, Mortgage backed securities | No Comments »
Monday, July 19th, 2010
U.S. foreclosure rates fell for the third straight month according to RealtyTrac’s new report. New foreclosure fillings in June dropped 2.81 percent from the previous month and 6.98 percent from the previous year.
While foreclosure rates are falling, they are still at high levels with 16 straight months of readings of over 300,000. Still 410 out of every 411 homes are not in foreclosure, so there is still some strength in the housing market.
Consumer Prices Continue to Fall
Consumer Prices fell for the third straight month, providing bargains for American Shoppers.
The Consumer Price Index, the government’s most closely watched inflation barometer, dipped 0.1 percent in June, according to the Labor Department. Less expensive energy bills were a big factor behind the drop. Prices for food items and airline fares also dropped last month. Also, “core” consumer prices are holding near a 44 year low.
What Happened to Rates Last Week:

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) gained +44 basis points last week which caused 30 year fixed rates to decrease for both government and conventional loans. Rate declined on the back of some weaker than expected economic data. Manufacturing Data, Consumer Price Index and Consumer Sentiment all were much worse than market expectations. Economic concerns helped to push investors towards purchasing MBS as a way to earn low yields in exchange for safety that you cannot find in the stock markets.
What to Watch Out For This Week:
The following are the major economic reports that will hit the market this week. They each have the ability to affect the pricing of Mortgage Backed Securities and therefore, interest rates for Government and Conventional mortgages. I will be watching these reports closely for you and let you know if there are any big surprises:
| Date |
ET |
Release |
For |
| 19-Jul |
10:00 |
National Homebuilders Association Index |
July |
| 20-Jul |
8:30 |
Building Permits |
Jun |
| 20-Jul |
8:30 |
Housing Starts |
Jun |
| 21-Jul |
10:30 |
Crude Inventories |
17-Jul |
| 22-Jul |
8:30 |
Initial Claims |
17-Jul |
| 22-Jul |
8:30 |
Continuing Claims |
10-Jul |
| 22-Jul |
10:00 |
Existing Home Sales |
Jun |
| 22-Jul |
10:00 |
Leading Indicators |
Jun |
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